ENERGY STAR cold-climate list

Carrier cold-climate mini-splits

The short answer

Carrier has 200 ENERGY STAR cold-climate certified system combinations. The median one is rated 18,000 BTU/h at 5°F, which is 90% of its 47°F capacity (the all-brand median is 88%), with a median HSPF2 of 10.5. Among the 80 brands with 50+ systems, it ranks #32 for keeping capacity in the cold.

200Certified systems
66Outdoor models
10.5Median HSPF2 (best 16.2)
2Median COP at 5°F
186ENERGY STAR Most Efficient listings

Capacity as it gets colder

012,50025,000 18,0005°F16,00017°F20,00047°F Outdoor temperature · y-axis: BTU/h heating capacity
Solid dots: 5°F and 47°F medians, joined by the straight line our model uses. Open dot: the 17°F median as reported, which is a separate test condition and often falls below the 5°F maximum-capacity figure.

Across the 200 systems, 5°F capacity runs from 7,000 to 54,000 BTU/h, so the model matters more than the badge. Refrigerants used: R-410A, R-454B.

Highest-HSPF2 Carrier systems

Top 12 unique outdoor + indoor pairings by HSPF2
Outdoor modelIndoor modelHSPF2BTU/h 47°FBTU/h 17°FBTU/h 5°FCOP 5°FAHRI ref
37MPRAQ18AA345MPHAQ18XA316.220,00019,30022,6002.34215413144
37MPRAQ18AA3D5MPHAQ18XA316.220,00019,30022,6002.34218139614
37MPRAQ06AA345MPHAQ06XA315.69,00011,00013,5002215413141
37MPRAQ06AA3D5MPHAQ06XA315.69,00011,00013,5002218139611
38MPRBQ09AA340MPHAQ09XA31512,00010,40012,0001.8213214827
37MAHAQ06AA345MAHAQ06XA314.87,0008,7007,7002.39215323742
37MAHAQ06AA3D5MAHAQ06XA314.87,0008,7007,7002.39218139549
37MPRAQ09AA345MPHAQ09XA314.612,00011,00013,5002215413142
37MPRAQ09AA3D5MPHAQ09XA314.612,00011,00013,5002218139612
37MARAQ09AA345MBFAQ09XA313.99,0009,0008,6002.27215323819
37MAHAQ09AA345MBDAQ12XH313.89,90010,20011,9001.85215323803
37MAHAQ06AA345MBDAQ06XA313.88,0008,0007,8002.4215323798

Check the AHRI reference at ahridirectory.org before buying. We do not list prices: none of our sources publishes them.

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Questions people ask

How many Carrier mini-splits are ENERGY STAR cold-climate certified?

Carrier has 200 certified cold-climate system combinations across 66 outdoor models in the EPA's ENERGY STAR mini-split list, first certified 2025-03-04 and most recently 2026-09-23.

How well do Carrier units heat at 5°F?

The median Carrier system is rated 18,000 BTU/h at 5°F against 20,000 BTU/h at 47°F, or 90% (the all-brand median is 88%). Median COP at 5°F is 2.